1 Sept · 14:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1561
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mrowetz
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1555
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 79% (24)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H4-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.