1 Sept · 13:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Pros
ELO 1478
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pokorny
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1558
FormWLLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Pokorny
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)