1 Sept · 09:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1563
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Krupnik
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1517
FormLLLWL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Moravec🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (81)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H14-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.