1 Sept · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇨🇿Dmytro Skvarskyi
ELO 1631
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1633
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H8-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.