1 Sept · 11:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1524
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Stepien
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1645
FormWLLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+121
H2H138-61
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (138-61)