1 Sept · 16:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1568
FormLLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ruzicka
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1618
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🌟2000 covers set handicap as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.