1 Sept · 20:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1573
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Travnicek
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1526
FormLWWWL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanak🌟Kanak covers set handicap as underdog 79% (24)
Fair odds · Travnicek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.