1 Sept · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1504
FormWWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Chaloupka
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1613
FormWLLLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)