1 Sept · 18:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1613
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ruzicka
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1618
FormLWWLW
50%
50%
🌟Trnka covers set handicap as underdog 77% (13)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H10-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.