1 Sept · 18:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1568
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.002000
JJ
🇨🇿Jakub Joksch
ELO 1564
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
🌟Joksch goes over total as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · 2000
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.