1 Sept · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿Dmytro Skvarskyi
ELO 1617
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stepien
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1654
FormWWWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 36% · 2.80· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H2-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.