1 Sept · 16:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jakub Joksch
ELO 1564
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Trnka
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1613
FormWWLLL
46%
54%
🌟Joksch goes over total as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Trnka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.