1 Sept · 16:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1461
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kral
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1406
FormWWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Kral rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (58)
Fair odds · Kral
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.