1 Sept · 17:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Balcar
ELO 1422
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Balcar
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1406
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
🌟Balcar rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (23)
Fair odds · Balcar
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.