1 Sept · 17:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1504
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gembala
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1569
FormLLLLW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zaskodny🌟Gembala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (82)
Fair odds · Gembala
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H8-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)