1 Sept · 18:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1613
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Chaloupka
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1552
FormLWWLW
55%
45%
🌟Skulina stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)