1 Sept · 17:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1541
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jnr
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1514
FormWLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 69% (75)
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H12-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.