1 Sept · 20:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1536
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Arkadiusz
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1546
FormLWLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Arkadiusz
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H22-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.