2 Sept · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1523
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Benes
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1588
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pawlik🌟Pawlik covers set handicap as underdog 66% (50)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)