2 Sept · 09:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1462
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1491
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Snr🌟Snr covers set handicap as underdog 78% (32)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H7-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.