2 Sept · 13:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zajac
ELO 1449
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mandrysz
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1467
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
🌟Zajac stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.