2 Sept · 08:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1479
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Strelec
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1483
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strelec🌟Chlad covers set handicap as underdog 64% (47)
Fair odds · Strelec
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.