2 Sept · 09:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1495
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Holik
SH
🇨🇿Simon Holik
ELO 1526
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
🌟Holik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (27)
Fair odds · Holik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H15-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.