2 Sept · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1514
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Molka
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1466
FormWWWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Molka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H82-81
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.