2 Sept · 11:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SH
🇨🇿Simon Holik
ELO 1526
FormWLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Budik
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1529
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Budik🌟Budik goes over total as favourite 79% (57)
Fair odds · Budik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 48% · 2.10· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.