2 Sept · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1578
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Jicha
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1688
FormLWWWL
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strejc🌟Strejc covers set handicap as underdog 62% (88)
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H89-71
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (89-71)