2 Sept · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1539
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Gola
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1486
FormWWWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Gola
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H90-53
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.