2 Sept · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1492
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vonasek
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1577
FormWWLWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer🌟Vonasek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (88)
Fair odds · Vonasek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H36-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-20)