2 Sept · 16:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1272
FormLLLWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Cibik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1533
FormLWWWW
30%
70%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolbusovsky
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~74 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
25%
2-3
14%
3-1
10%
3-2
10%
Elo Gap+261
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+261)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)