2 Sept · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1651
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Cerny
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1717
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H44-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-18)