2 Sept · 17:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1495
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Molin
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1562
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
🌟Baros covers set handicap as underdog 70% (30)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)