2 Sept · 16:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1339
FormWLLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Cesak
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cesak
ELO 1588
FormWWLWW
31%
69%
🌟Cesak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (61)
Fair odds · Cesak
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~73 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+249
H2H25-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+249)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-16)