2 Sept · 15:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1702
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vesecky
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1651
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H33-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.