2 Sept · 14:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1577
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rek
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1636
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H39-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-28)