2 Sept · 17:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OC
🇨🇿Ondrej Coufal
ELO 1465
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Coufal
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Janik
ELO 1419
FormLWLLW
54%
46%
🌟Janik covers set handicap as underdog 65% (34)
Fair odds · Coufal
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.