2 Sept · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1492
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jr
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1586
FormLWWWW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer🌟Langer covers set handicap as underdog 64% (143)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H56-56
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)