2 Sept · 15:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1568
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Benes
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1579
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krenek🌟Krenek goes over total as underdog 68% (77)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H68-68
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.