2 Sept · 15:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1649
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rek
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1578
FormLWWWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H40-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-28)