3 Sept · 07:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1548
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Dzida
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1558
FormLWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Pawlik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (51)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H0-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.