3 Sept · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1652
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Benak
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1687
FormLLWLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Brozek🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (37)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.