3 Sept · 08:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1571
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Benes
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1569
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 64% (107)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H30-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.