3 Sept · 09:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1588
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mrowetz
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1571
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Benes covers set handicap as underdog 64% (73)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H9-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.