3 Sept · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1558
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Dzida
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1459
FormWLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)