3 Sept · 10:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1485
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dzida
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1558
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 66% (62)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)