3 Sept · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1548
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pawlik
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1459
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kantor🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (57)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)