3 Sept · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1687
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Benak
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1668
FormLWWWW
52%
48%
🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (37)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H20-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.