3 Sept · 13:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1563
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hnizdil
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1611
FormWWLWW
46%
54%
🌟Koutnik covers set handicap as underdog 70% (63)
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H19-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.