3 Sept · 14:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1563
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Koutnik
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1471
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rein
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+92
H2H13-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-8)