3 Sept · 13:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SM
🇨🇿Simon Matousch
ELO 1385
FormLLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Vintr
JV
🇨🇿Josef Vintr
ELO 1544
FormWWLWL
37%
63%
🌟Vintr goes over total as favourite 70% (23)
Fair odds · Vintr
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+159
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)