3 Sept · 13:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1480
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sindler
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1456
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jancak🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (93)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H17-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.